Thursday, September 1, 2011

Romney "POLLING" ahead

Two news articles came out today, explaining Romney to be the better competitor against President Obama in the 2012 elections.

Mitt Romney winning the economic debate

Barack Obama is losing the economic argument to Mitt Romney, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Thursday, finding voters trust the former Massachusetts governor more on the central issue of the 2012 campaign.

The margin is close: Forty-six percent of voters say they believe Romney “would do a better job on the economy,” while 42 percent choose Obama. Among independent voters, Romney leads by 12 points, 49 percent to 37 percent.

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Rick Perry is also close to Obama on the question of economic management. In a Perry-Obama face-off, 43 percent of voters say Obama would do a better job on the economy while 41 percent choose Perry. Perry leads on the economy among independent voters, 43 percent to 40 percent.

There’s at least one Republican who can’t come close to Obama on this score: Michele Bachmann, who earns the economic confidence of just 37 percent of voters. In a choice between Obama and Bachmann for economic leadership, 48 percent of voters choose Obama.

The Obama-Romney comparison strengthens the onetime Republican front-runner’s best case for himself as a general election candidate — that he’s the GOP candidate who can win the debate over how to create jobs. If Romney continues to own that category, despite Perry’s job-creation record in Texas, it could become his biggest asset in a primary.

Quinnipiac showed in a release earlier this week that Romney and Obama would tie in a general election match-up at 45 percent, while Obama would lead Perry by 3 points.

The backdrop for Quinnipiac’s 2012 data is a deepening economic gloom among voters. Nearly half — 49 percent — of voters now believe the economy is getting worse. Just 11 percent believe the economy is improving.

Seventy-six percent say the economy is in a recession and 68 percent say it is not starting to recover.

Poll: GOP Insiders Overwhelmingly Favor Romney

Republican "insiders" are wary of Rick Perry's ability to win, according to a survey by National Journal, picking Mitt Romney by a wide margin as the more electable candidate.

The poll, which regularly checks in with a pool of Republican and Democratic strategists, finds both parties in agreement that Romney is the superior candidate. Republicans think the GOP would be better off nominating him by a 69% to 31% margin. That number is even higher among Democratic insiders, 83% of whom see Romney as the better bet versus 17% for Perry.

Unnamed insiders from both parties cited questions about Perry's ability to win over independents given his resume as a hardline conservative, red-state governor. "Perry can fire up the base, but this election will be won in the middle, not on the fringes," one Republican said.

Given his recent appeals to the Tea Party, winning a poll of veteran Republican politicos may not be the most exciting achievement for Romney. And given that Perry is amassing a solid lead in national polls and surging in a number of early primary and caucus states, it may not be the most representative slice of GOP opinion either. A recent PPP poll of South Carolina, for example, showed Perry cleaning up not only with the conservative, Tea Party wing of the GOP,but with more moderate Republicans that should in theory be Romney's base.

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